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SPACE ENVIRONMENT FORECAST
SUN ,  Oct 02 , 2022
MON ,  Oct 03 , 2022
TUE ,  Oct 04 , 2022
DAILY REPORTS
 
Space Environment Summary
During the past 24 hours, solar activity was high. Six active sunspot regions were on the visible disk with a M5.8-class flare produced by AR3110(N11E38), associated with a CME. The solar wind speed decreased to about 450 km/s. The geomagnetic field was quiet.
Published: 2022-10-02 00:30 UTC
Forecaster: 037/010
 
Space Environment Forecast
Within the next three days, solar activity is expected to be mainly moderate with a chance for M-Class flares. Due to the effect of the recurrent coronal hole high speed stream, the geomagnetic field is expected to reach active or storm levels on 2-3 Oct. Due to the effect of CME produced on 1 Oct, the geomagnetic field is expected to reach active levels on 4 Oct.
Published: 2022-10-02 00:30 UTC
Forecaster: 037/010
 
F10.7 Index Ap Index
The 10.7-cm solar radio flux forecast for the next 24/48/72 hours.
Geomagnetic Ap index forecast for the next 24/48/72 hours.
24HR 48HR 72HR
145 145 145
24HR 48HR 72HR
18 12 15
 
Solar X-ray Flare Geomagnetic Storm
Probabilities for M and X class solar flares for the next 24/48/72 hours. Probabilities for minor and major disturbances in Geomagnetic field for the next 24/48/72 hours.
CLASS 24HR 48HR 72HR
M 50% 50% 50%
X 10% 10% 10%
CLASS 24HR 48HR 72HR
Minor 50% 10% 30%
Major 10% 1% 1%
 
Solar Proton Event Relativisitic Electron Enhancement
Probabilities for solar proton event for the next 24/48/72 hours.
Probabilities for GEO relativistic electrons enhancement event for the next 24/48/72 hours.
24HR 48HR 72HR
1% 1% 1%
24HR 48HR 72HR
1% 1% 1%
right_bar
24-hr Max:M8.7
Peak Time:2022 Oct 02 02:21 UTC
 
Updated:2022 Oct 02 16:34 UTC
>>more data<<
Current 5-min:3.857e-1 /cm2.sr.s
24-hr Max:7.437e-1 /cm2.sr.s
 
Updated:2022 Oct 02 16:25 UTC
>>more data<<
Speed:475 km/sec
Density:0.5 protons/cm3
 
Updated:2022 Oct 02 16:35 UTC
>>more data<<
Current:Kp=2
24-hr Max:Kp=2
 
Updated:2022 Oct 02 15:00 UTC
>>more data<<
Current 5-min:7.728e+1 /cm2.sr.s
Integral Flux:1.375e+6 /cm2.sr.day
 
Updated:2022 Oct 02 16:25 UTC
>>more data<<
10.7cm Flux:148 sfu
 
Update:2022 Oct 01 UTC
>>more data<<
SSN:100
 
Update:2022 Oct 01 UTC
>>more data<<