Daily Forecast





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	Solar X-ray Flare
	Solar Proton Event
	RelativisticElectronEnhancement
	GeoMagnetic Storm

	AE Model
	Dst Model
	Sudden Ionosphere Disturbance
	Magnetopause & Bow Shock
	Kp Model
	GEO relativistic electron flux
	Chinese Assimilation TEC Model

SPACE ENVIRONMENT FORECAST

SUN , Oct 02 , 2022

MON , Oct 03 , 2022

TUE , Oct 04 , 2022

DAILY REPORTS

Space Environment Summary

During the past 24 hours, solar activity was high. Six active sunspot regions were on the visible disk with a M5.8-class flare produced by AR3110(N11E38), associated with a CME. The solar wind speed decreased to about 450 km/s. The geomagnetic field was quiet.
	Published:	2022-10-02 00:30 UTC
	Forecaster:	037/010

Space Environment Forecast

Within the next three days, solar activity is expected to be mainly moderate with a chance for M-Class flares. Due to the effect of the recurrent coronal hole high speed stream, the geomagnetic field is expected to reach active or storm levels on 2-3 Oct. Due to the effect of CME produced on 1 Oct, the geomagnetic field is expected to reach active levels on 4 Oct.
	Published:	2022-10-02 00:30 UTC
	Forecaster:	037/010

F10.7 Index

Ap Index

The 10.7-cm solar radio flux forecast for the next 24/48/72 hours.

Geomagnetic Ap index forecast for the next 24/48/72 hours.

24HR	48HR	72HR
145	145	145

24HR	48HR	72HR
18	12	15

Solar X-ray Flare

Geomagnetic Storm

Probabilities for M and X class solar flares for the next 24/48/72 hours.

Probabilities for minor and major disturbances in Geomagnetic field for the next 24/48/72 hours.

Solar Proton Event

Relativisitic Electron Enhancement

Probabilities for solar proton event for the next 24/48/72 hours.

Probabilities for GEO relativistic electrons enhancement event for the next 24/48/72 hours.

24HR	48HR	72HR
1%	1%	1%

24HR	48HR	72HR
1%	1%	1%

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