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SPACE ENVIRONMENT FORECAST
TUE ,  Oct 17 , 2017
WED ,  Oct 18 , 2017
THU ,  Oct 19 , 2017
DAILY REPORTS
 
Space Environment Summary
During the past 24 hours, solar activity was very low. There was no active regions on the visible disk. The solar wind speed maintained at about 520 km/s. The geomagnetic field was quiet to unsettled. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit reached moderate storm levels.
Published: 2017-10-17 00:02 UTC
Forecaster: 027/010
 
Space Environment Forecast
Within the next three days, solar activity is expected to be very low. The geomagnetic field is expected to be quiet to unsettled on 17 Oct. Due to the effect of the coronal hole high speed stream, the geomagnetic field is expected to reach active levels on 18-19 Oct. The greater than 2 MeV electron flux at geosynchronous orbit is expected to maintain at storm levels.
Published: 2017-10-17 00:02 UTC
Forecaster: 027/010
 
F10.7 Index Ap Index
The 10.7-cm solar radio flux forecast for the next 24/48/72 hours.
Geomagnetic Ap index forecast for the next 24/48/72 hours.
24HR 48HR 72HR
70 70 70
24HR 48HR 72HR
8 10 12
 
Solar X-ray Flare Geomagnetic Storm
Probabilities for M and X class solar flares for the next 24/48/72 hours. Probabilities for minor and major disturbances in Geomagnetic field for the next 24/48/72 hours.
CLASS 24HR 48HR 72HR
M 1% 1% 1%
X 1% 1% 1%
CLASS 24HR 48HR 72HR
Minor 1% 10% 10%
Major 1% 1% 1%
 
Solar Proton Event Relativisitic Electron Enhancement
Probabilities for solar proton event for the next 24/48/72 hours.
Probabilities for GEO relativistic electrons enhancement event for the next 24/48/72 hours.
24HR 48HR 72HR
1% 1% 1%
24HR 48HR 72HR
90% 80% 80%
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24-hr Max:A5.5
Peak Time:2017 Oct 16 21:18 UTC
 
Updated:2017 Oct 17 09:12 UTC
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Current 5-min:1.100e-1 /cm2.sr.s
24-hr Max:4.120e-1 /cm2.sr.s
 
Updated:2017 Oct 17 09:00 UTC
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Speed:473.2 km/sec
Density:5.0 protons/cm3
 
Updated:2017 Oct 17 09:01 UTC
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Current:Kp=1
24-hr Max:Kp=3
 
Updated:2017 Oct 17 06:00 UTC
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Current 5-min:1.770e+4 /cm2.sr.s
Integral Flux:1.561e+9 /cm2.sr.day
 
Updated:2017 Oct 17 09:00 UTC
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10.7cm Flux:71 sfu
 
Update:2017 Oct 16 UTC
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SSN:0
 
Update:2017 Oct 16 UTC
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